国际肿瘤学杂志 ›› 2023, Vol. 50 ›› Issue (7): 425-431.doi: 10.3760/cma.j.cn371439-20230315-00082

• 论著 • 上一篇    下一篇

1990—2019年全球肿瘤发病死亡分析

赵倩雯, 彭丹莉, 秦韬, 毛国飞, 唐辉, 杨峻()   

  1. 桂林医学院附属医院检验科,桂林 541001
  • 收稿日期:2023-03-15 修回日期:2023-06-04 出版日期:2023-07-08 发布日期:2023-08-03
  • 通讯作者: 杨峻,Email: 7318793@qq.com

Analysis of global cancer incidence and mortality from 1990 to 2019

Zhao Qianwen, Peng Danli, Qin Tao, Mao Guofei, Tang Hui, Yang Jun()   

  1. Department of Clinical Laboratory,Affiliated Hospital of Guilin Medical University,Guilin 541001,China
  • Received:2023-03-15 Revised:2023-06-04 Online:2023-07-08 Published:2023-08-03
  • Contact: Yang Jun,Email: 7318793@qq.com

摘要:

目的 分析1990—2019年全球肿瘤发病死亡情况。方法 利用全球疾病负担研究2019(GBD2019)数据库,分析1990—2019年全球肿瘤发病死亡情况、肿瘤发病死亡顺位、不同年龄组发病死亡情况以及发病死亡趋势。通过世界标准人口年龄结构进行标化,获得标化发病率和标化死亡率。结果 1990年,全球肿瘤发病例数为1 029.59万,发病率为192.45/10万,死亡例数为573.26万,死亡率为107.16/10万;2019年,全球肿瘤发病例数为2 356.85万,发病率为304.60/10万,死亡例数为1 002.28万,死亡率为129.54/10万,均较1990年升高。2019年,男女合计全球发病率最高的肿瘤为肺癌(29.21/10万),第2~5位依次为结直肠癌、乳腺癌、前列腺癌和胃癌,其中男性发病率最高为肺癌(39.24/10万)、女性为乳腺癌(51.27/10万);男女合计全球死亡率最高的肿瘤为肺癌(26.40/10万),第2~5位依次为结直肠癌、胃癌、乳腺癌和胰腺癌,其中男性死亡率最高的为肺癌(35.72/10万)、女性为乳腺癌(17.85/10万)。2019年,全球肿瘤发病率随年龄的增长呈上升趋势,在25岁前发病率较低,25岁之后发病率升高较快,男女合计、男性和女性发病率均在85岁以上年龄组达到高峰,分别为3 084.18/10万、4 434.81/10万和2 353.07/10万;20~50岁年龄组女性发病率高于男性,55岁以上年龄组男性发病率高于女性;2019年男女合计在20岁以上、男性在55岁以上、女性在15岁以上年龄组发病率均高于1990年相应年龄组发病率。2019年,全球肿瘤死亡率随年龄的增长呈上升趋势,在35岁前死亡率较低,35岁之后死亡率升高较快,男女合计、男性和女性死亡率均在85岁以上年龄组达到高峰,分别为1 787.84/10万、2 509.87/10万和1 369.99/10万;20~40岁年龄组女性死亡率高于男性,45岁以上年龄组男性死亡率高于女性;2019年男女合计、男性和女性在0~80岁死亡率均低于1990年,2019年85岁以上年龄组死亡率高于1990年。全球肿瘤标化发病率整体呈上升趋势,1990—2019年平均每年上升0.30%;全球肿瘤标化死亡率整体呈下降趋势,1990—2019年平均每年下降0.60%。结论 1990—2019年全球肿瘤标化发病率整体呈上升趋势,标化死亡率整体呈下降趋势,并且全球肿瘤发病率和死亡率均随年龄升高而升高,全球肿瘤疾病负担仍然较重。肺癌是全球肿瘤中发病率和死亡率最高的肿瘤,其中男性全球发病率最高为肺癌,女性全球发病率最高为乳腺癌,不同国家或地区需要根据实际情况采取相应肿瘤防治策略。

关键词: 肿瘤, 全球疾病负担, 发病率

Abstract:

Objective To analyze the global incidence and mortality of cancer from 1990 to 2019. Methods The Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 (GBD2019) database was utilized to analyze the global incidence and mortality of cancer,the order of incidence and mortality of cancer,the incidence and mortality of different age groups,and the trend of incidence and mortality from 1990 to 2019. Standardized incidence and mortality rates were derived by utilizing the world standard population age structure. Results In 1990,global cancer cases numbered 10.295 9 million with an incidence rate of 192.45/100 000,leading to 5.732 6 million deaths and a mortality rate of 107.16/100 000. While in 2019,global cancer cases escalated to 23.568 5 million with an incidence rate of 304.60/100 000,resulting in 10.022 8 million deaths and a mortality rate of 129.54/100 000,all higher than those in 1990. In 2019,lung cancer showed the highest incidence rate of both sexes combined in the world (29.21/100 000),followed by colorectal cancer,breast cancer,prostate cancer and gastric cancer. The incidence of lung cancer was highest among males (39.24/100 000),while the incidence of breast cancer was highest among females (51.27/100 000). Lung cancer also had the highest mortality rate worldwide in both sexes combined (26.40/100 000),followed by colorectal cancer,gastric cancer,breast cancer and pancreatic cancer. Lung cancer had the highest mortality among males (35.72/100 000),while breast cancer had the highest mortality among females (17.85/100 000). In 2019,the global cancer incidence rate showed an upward trend with age. The incidence rate was low before the age of 25,and increased rapidly after the age of 25. The incidence rates of both sexes combined,males and females all reached the peak in the age group of over 85 years old,which were 3 084.18/100 000,4 434.81/100 000 and 2 353.07/100 000 respectively; The incidence rate of females in the age group of 20-50 years old was higher than that of males,but the incidence rate of males in the age group of over 55 years old was higher than that of females. Compared with 1990,the incidence rates of both sexes combined in the age group of over 20,of males over 55 years old,as well as of females over 15 years old,were all higher than those in 2019. In 2019,the global tumor mortality rate showed an upward trend with age. The mortality rate was relatively low before the age of 35,and increased rapidly after the age of 35. The mortality rates for both sexes combined,as well as for males and females,reached the peak in the age group of over 85 years old,which were 1 787.84/100 000,2 509.87/100 000,and 1 369.99/100 000 respectively; The mortality rate of females in the age group of 20-40 years old was higher than that of males,and the mortality rate of males in the age group of over 45 years old was higher than that of females; For the age of 0-80 years old,the mortality rates for both sexes combined,males,and females were lower in 2019 than 1990,but higher in the age of 85 years old and above. The global standardized incidence rate of cancer showed an overall upward trend,with an average annual increase of 0.30% from 1990 to 2019. The global standardized mortality rate of cancer showed an overall downward trend,with an average annual decrease of 0.60% from 1990 to 2019. Conclusion From 1990 to 2019,the global standardized incidence rate of cancers shows an overall upward trend,while the global standardized mortality rate of cancers has an overall downward trend,and the global incidence and mortality rate of cancers increases with age. The global burden of cancer disease is still heavy. Lung cancer is the cancer with the highest incidence and mortality rate in the world. The highest incidence rate is lung cancer among males,and breast cancer among females. Different countries or regions need to take corresponding cancer prevention and treatment strategies according to their actual conditions.

Key words: Neoplasms, Global burden of disease, Incidence